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THE
theme song of the Indian politics today, as November begins is "Come
November, Come December". The last two months of the year 2003 are
crucial because they will set the trend for the voters’ mindset and
the fate of the titans of the Indian politics. In November,
Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chattisgarh and Mizoram will go to polls.
In December, Delhiites will go for their mandate. All the major
political parties and their leaders will be on trial.
But alas, in the beginning of the poll campaigns,
non-issues and irrelevant emotional slogans were at the centre of
the stage. The party campaign managers simply refused to see that
the people of India needed bread as much as temples and mosques and
fall of ruling regimes was less important for them than the fall of
the human beings and their living conditions at the hands of the
mindless politicians and merciless bureaucrats.
Will the lure of caste, creed and communal appeal
help corner votes as it did in the past? Will India never step out
of the middle ages? Will the people of India once again to be taken
for a ride? The elections will indicate whether the country will
continue to stumble and grope in the dark bylanes and blind alleys
of pride, prejudice and personality.
Tactics of personal attacks before the
declaration of poll manifestoes were quite visible in both Madhya
Pradesh and Chattisgarh. In Rajasthan, the rivals of the ruling
Congress Chief Minister Ashok Gehlot were looking for a skeleton in
his cupboard. In Delhi, as to the media speculations, Sheila Diskhit
camp has an edge over Khurana camp.
An element of "calculated betrayal of friends",
which had become a hallmark of Indian politics in the last decade,
was also evident in the pre-poll splits and defections within the
National Congress Party led by Sharad Pawar and Punro Sangma, the
BSP led by Mayawati and even the Congress Party led by Sonia Gandhi.
The tussle between the "incumbency factor" and the "disgruntlement
factor" was also quite in evidence in the early stage of the poll
campaigns.
The Election Commission, giving strict warnings
on poll misdemeanours to politicians and bureaucrats, has already
banned distribution of school bags with Ajit Jogi’s pictures in
Chhatisgarh and unwarranted display of the poll contending leaders
and chief ministers on hoardings on the national and state highways.
The affidavit factor, enjoining upon candidates
to declare their qualifications, assets and criminal records, will
also be a new poll-influencer this time.
Both the Congress and the BJP tickets remain to
be at high premium and the early pollster estimates gave a slight
edge to Congress over other rivals despite many "upset factors"
inside the party. On the question "Will it be a referendum on temple
and Hindutva issues", it will be too early to say things now.
Just wait and hum: Come November, Come December.
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