espite
the fact that India and Pakistan have fought three wars over Jammu
and Kashmir, that relations between the two countries have been
marred by confrontations at the international level, that bilateral
ties have hit the nadir thanks to ISI-sponsored terrorist operations
in India, the stage is being set for an era of comity in the
subcontinent now. How long harmony between the two countries will
continue to prevail, however, is another matter. Pakistan has
already announced CBMs (confidence building measures) which include
exchange of High Commissioners and restoration of diplomatic status
quo as it existed prior to December 13, 2001, when terrorists made a
vain bid to storm Parliament House; restoration of the air, rail and
road links; release of Indian fishermen in Pakistani jails;
resumption of Indo-Pak cricket and hockey matches. India is
demanding an end to terrorism as a pre-condition for talks and so
far has not responded to the CBMs announced by Pakistan Prime
Minister Mir Zafarullah Khan Jamali.
But there are enough indications to presume that
bilateral talks between the Prime Ministers of the two countries are
likely to be resumed following the discussions U. S. Deputy
Secretary of State, Richard Armitage and Assistant Secretary of
State Rocca, had first with President Pervez Musharraf in Islamabad,
and later with Indian Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee in New
Delhi during their recent visit to the sub-continent.
According to military intelligence reports, 4,000
Islamic militants have already been trained in camps operating near
the Line of Control on the Pakistani side for launching operations
in Jammu and Kashmir and other parts of the country. Where will
these trained militants go? Under intense U. S. pressure for peace
in the region, these Islamic militants may be asked to lie low for
some time. Unless better sense prevails on Pakistan’s rulers or they
are forced to fall in line by the U. S., chances of peace returning
to the violence-ridden State remain slim.
According to a blueprint already drawn up by the
U. S. State Department for ushering permanent peace in the
subcontinent, the region east of the Line of Control, instead of
being known as the disputed territory, should be recognised as the
"Indian state of Jammu and Kashmir" and the territories to the west
of the LoC may be called "Pakistan controlled areas of Kashmir". In
fact, the CIA has released the redrawn map of the State and
behind-the-scenes efforts are being made to persuade both India and
Pakistan to fall in line with this proposal. But officially, the U.
S. denies that there is any such move to solve the Kashmir tangle.
There are some indications that the U. S. means
business this time and would not allow its leaning towards Pakistan
to come in the way of creating a harmonious environment between the
two countries. Pakistan’s Director of Inter-Services Intelligence,
Ehsanul Haq, the brain behind cross-border infiltration and
terrorist operations in India, is already in Washington, invited by
the U. S. State Department for meetings with officials dealing with
security matters. He will call on the chiefs of the CIA and FBI,
besides National Security Adviser Condoleeza Rice, and Deputy
Secretary of State Richard Armitage. All this shows the importance
the Bush Administration is attaching to restoration of normalcy in
Indo-Pak relations. According to diplomatic sources, Haq is in
America not to get a pat from the U. S. A. for whatever he had been
doing to keep Indo-Pak tensions at breaking point, but to be told
that he should stop the diabolic game of creating violence in Jammu
and Kashmir and other parts of India now. The global policeman
doesn’t want violence to spoil the proposed Indo-Pak dialogue.
However, increasing U. S. interest for peace in the subcontinent may
bring about some change in the political scenario in Pakistan, where
India-bashing over Jammu and Kashmir had become a sort of passport
to power in the country. In fact, whenever politicians in power in
Islamabad were faced with serious domestic problems they raked up
the issue of the sufferings of Kashmiris under Indian rule and their
determination to liberate them by hook or crook. This was a common
tactic adopted to divert attention of the people and thus ward off
criticism. With no chance of dwelling upon theKashmir issue in
future, they will have to abide by the dictates of the global
policeman or be prepared to meet the fate of Saddam Hussein. The
writing on the wall is that Pakistani leaders will have to devote
greater attention to solving the problems of poverty and corruption,
which are as serious there as in India.
Not only will the hawks in Pakistan suffer, hawks
in India also will have to change tack. The ISI-sponsored terrorist
violence has been a convenient weapon for the Sangh parivar fanatics
to stir up communal passions to promote their own self-interest in
polarising the communities and thus creating an atmosphere for their
victories in elections. Whatever Narender Modi, the Gujarat chief
minister, might claim, the fact is he could win the Assembly
elections last year only by raising the bogey of the communal threat
to the majority community as evident from the Godhra carnage and
later terrorist attack on the Akshardham temple in Gandhinagar in
the State.
The hawks in India are again bracing up to raise
communal issues for the Assembly elections due to take place in
November this year in Madhya Pradesh, Uttaranchal, Rajasthan and
Delhi. Already, the Vishwa Hindu Parishad general secretary, Praveen
Togadia, who has many admirers despite the fact that he is given to
making tall and sometimes irresponsible statements, has openly asked
the Prime Minister "not to repeat the blunders of the past by
extending a hand of friendship to Pakistan." After distributing
tridents to Bajrang Dal activists at a Trishul Diksha function in
East Delhi recently, Togadia said instead of being courted as a
friend, Pakistan should be punished for waging a proxy war against
India through terrorists. "We do not want any Samjautha Express,
Lahore Bus or Agra talks. We want our tanks to be in the lanes of
Lahore, our missiles hitting Rawalpindi and the Bhagwa Dhwaj
(saffron flag ) in Karachi," he declared . "If the U. S. can attack
Iraq—which is thousands of miles away—for national security reasons,
why can’t we attack Pakistan?" asked the firebrand leader.
Continuing his rhetoric, Togadia said:
"Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) is directly engaged in
fuelling terrorist activities in India from Kashmir to Kanyakumari.
In the fitness of things, India should do the same from Karachi to
Kandahar. We will not keep quiet till Pakistan is disintegrated into
40 small nations. We want "Akhand" Bharat. I do not want to learn
Hindutva from spineless people who can’t defend the country from
jehadi terrorists. We will use all means to achieve our final goal
of establishing a Hindu Rashtra". He claimed the ISI was not content
with merely seeking to create anarchy and chaos in India. Now it had
pumped Rs. 500 crore into Assam to instigate the demand for "Greater
Bangladesh" with the annexation of Indian territories bordering
Bangladesh so that all those who were migrating from the country for
lack of space and employment opportunities could live in peace. He
said those people who are giving employment and shelter to illegal
migrants from Bangladesh were "anti-national".
Togadia had launched his Trishul Diksha campaign
soon after the conclusion of the three-day conclave organised by the
Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh to underline the need for greater
co-operation and understanding between the Vajpayee-led government
and all the RSS affiliates as a preparation for the coming Assembly
elections in the four States in November.
Although no final announcement as such was made,
discussions at the conclave made it clear that in view of the coming
elections there should be greater co-ordination among various
organisations working for the Sangh parivar. In order to dispel any
doubts regarding its stand on the Ram Temple construction in Ayodhya,
BJP leaders made it clear that "the party was as much committed to
the Ram Temple issue and to resolve the Ayodhya tangle as the Vishwa
Hindu Parishad. The BJP promised total support to the temple
movement and asked the VHP leaders to get the support of MPs from
other parties so that the issue could be settled once for all
through a legislative enactment. The conclave also gave the green
signal to Togadia’s Trishul Diksha programme.