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the aftermath of the U. S. sweep in Iraq, there are clear indications
that the Indo-Pak tension over Jammu and Kashmir and terrorist violence
on this side of the border inspired by Pakistan’s ISI may be brought
under control. While it is too early to say anything as to how this will
happen, it seems some methodology would be worked out or evolved to
achieve this result during the proposed fire-fighting visit to the two
countries by U. S. Deputy Secretary of State, Richard Armitage.
Following the removal of the Iraqi dictator, Saddam Hussein, Indo-Pak
tension appears to be an important item on the U. S. agenda.
That the U. S. State Department really means business
this time is clear from the spadework which is already being done to
prepare the ground for the improvement of relations between the two
neighbours without any bias or leaning towards any side. The
U. S. Ambassador in New Delhi, Robert Blackwill, who was known for his
pro-India pronouncements has been recalled and reportedly asked by
President Bush to carry on his academic work at Harvard University,
although all this has been denied by the official spokesman in
Washington. The U. S. government maintains that Blackwill’s decision to
resign was voluntary and it had nothing to do with it.
Already, Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee, who was
insisting on an end to terrorism as a pre-condition for talks with
Pakistan’s President Gen. Pervez Musharraf, has somewhat changed his
stance, as was obvious from his utterances in Srinagar, and later in
Parliament. Alarm bells have also started ringing in Islamabad over the
statements first by the British Prime Minister Tony Blair and later by
the U. S. State Department’s policy chief Richard Haas that Pakistan is
not keeping its commitment on infiltration and cross-border terrorism.
Gen. Musharraf would never like to incur U. S. displeasure whatever the
cost, especially after the humiliation of the Iraqi President. Some U.
S. experts are already scheduled to visit factories in Pakistan
suspected to be involved in the production of chemical weapons.
Shortly before flying back to New Delhi after a
two-day visit to Srinagar, Vajpayee candidly said: "The Iraq war is a
warning for the entire world, especially the developing world and those
countries which are still caught in the cobwebs of poverty. I will not
elaborate on that but we have to see how long India and Pakistan will
keep on fighting. The time has come for a new beginning to be made."
Replying to a question, Vajpayee said if Pakistan announced today that
cross-border terrorism had been stopped, "I will send a senior official
of our Foreign Ministry tomorrow to Islamabad to discuss the agenda for
talks."
President Musharraf has also expressed similar views
and started talking now of the emerging possibility of better relations
with India. The Pakistan Foreign Office has started redrawing plans for
holding the SAARC summit in Islamabad. Earlier, this exercise was given
up because India had declined to participate in SAARC as a protest
against continuing terrorist strikes in Jammu and Kashmir. The situation
is changing now though the seeds sown for violence earlier still
continue to sprout. After Vajpayee’s return from Srinagar, 26 people,
including 18 militants, died in mine blasts and encounters with security
guards in the Kashmir Valley.
That there was intense diplomatic activity behind new
overtures of friendship with Pakistan made by Vajpayee at a
well-attended public meeting in Srinagar on the very first day of his
Kashmir visit was obvious. Simultaneously, just as the Prime Minister
was saying that the door of talks with Pakistan was open, the
U. S. A. acknowledged in Washington its failure to check Pakistan from
encouraging militancy in Srinagar. The Pakistan Prime Minister quickly
reacted to Vajpayee’s statement and expressed the hope that both
countries would soon end hostility. Although the U. S. A. had been
trying for rapprochement between India and Pakistan for long, all
efforts failed. But now the stage is being set for a different scenario.
In clear-cut and sharp tones, Haas said: "The U. S.
A. for some time has urged the Pakistani government to stop cross-border
terrorism across the Line of Control in Jammu and Kashmir. I will be
honest: we have not succeeded." Saying that India had not exhausted the
full range of dialogue options, American policy planners warned Pakistan
that its ties with Washington would not improve beyond a certain point
till the infiltration issue was adequately addressed. It is simply a
fact of life for the Pakistanis that our relationship with them will
never improve beyond a certain point unless this issue is adequately
addressed. It will continue to be a major diplomatic reality for the
U. S. A."
Whether all this will usher in a new era of peace,
prosperity and understanding between India and Pakistan cannot be said
with any certainty at this stage. But there is no doubt now that America
with the successful culmination of its operations in Iraq has
demonstrated that U. N. or no U. N., it is determined to emerge as a
policeman of the world, things may change. Already the people of Jammu
and Kashmir, who have been the real sufferers of three Indo-Pak wars
fought over the State and persistent tensions and terrorist violence,
are happy over the pronouncements made by Vajpayee during his visit to
the Kashmir Valley.
Vajpayee, the first Indian Prime Minister to go to
Jammu and Kashmir since 1987, sought an end to bloodshed in the Valley.
Loud cheers greeted him at the packed Sher-e-Kashmir stadium, where the
rally was held, when he said New Delhi wanted the resolution of all
internal and external issues through talks. In Islamabad, Pakistani
Prime Minister, Mir Zafarullah Khan Jamali, hailed Vajpayee’s speech,
saying: "I welcome this offer and appreciate it, but the basic
principles will remain the same."
Poor Kashmiris, who depend for their livelihood
mainly on tourism, the industry which has been completely non-functional
in the troubled State due to terrorism for over 15 years now, shouted
slogans, praising Vajpayee sky-high when he said that the government
would make adequate arrangements for expanding employment opportunities
for the people of the State. "I know unemployment is a big curse in
Jammu and Kashmir, we have to remove it and bring joy and happiness in
the arcadian Kashmir Valley." But Vajpayee, although giving messages of
joy and happiness to the long–suffering Kashmiris, did not have the
magic wand to change the situation: the exuberant mood in the stadium,
where the Prime Minister was speaking, was in sharp contrast to the
deserted roads in the city.
Although Vajpayee gave the impression that tension
and terrorism would soon be a thing of the past in Kashmir, he was very
cautious in his replies. When asked about the All-Party Hurriyat
Conference, which is widely known in Jammu and Kashmir to be nothing but
a spokesman of Pakistan’s ISI regarding Kashmir affairs, Vajpayee
frankly dodged the question. He merely repeated what he had been saying
since his arrival in the Valley that the door is open for all those who
want talks with the Centre for resolution of the Kashmir problem.
The Prime Minister strongly supported the healing
touch policy adopted by the State Chief Minister, Mufti Mohammed Sayeed,
Vajpayee said the Centre would support Mufti in his endeavour to heal
the wounds of Kashmiris who have been victims of atrocities instigated
from across the border. But the healing touch would not apply to
terrorists who have been terrorising the innocents and exploiting the
situation with instructions from bosses sitting across the border. There
was no doubt that the Prime Minister was accorded a heart-warming
welcome by Kashmiris mainly on account of the enthusiasm about his visit
generated by the State Government under the leadership of Mufti Mohammed
Sayeed. The Chief Minister’s moves calculated mainly to rid the Kashmir
Valley of terrorism and militancy deriving inspiration from Pakistan’s
ISI are bound to win encomiums of praise not only from the long-harassed
people in the Valley but also from the Kashmir policy planners in New
Delhi’s South Block.