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  • Shankar Kumar
 

Ominous clouds of tension between India and Pakistan ate once again threatening to explode into war. Elements responsible for this avoidable situation are those seeking constant encouragement from Islamabad. Even for the Kaluchak incident, in which over 30 people were killed, there is indelible evidence to show Islamabad's tacit involvement as all the three terrorists who gunned down innocent people at the break of day on May 14, were Pakistani nationals belonging to Faislabad and Gujranwala districts. Not only that, certain food items such as biscuits and chocolates found on the persons of these terrorists, shot dead later by the Army revealed their origin in Zaffarwal in Pakistan. Still, mavericks in Islamabad are not prepared to own up any responsibility for the attack. And, they wouldn't till the Punjabi-dominated Pakistan Army's blessings and the powerful Inter-Services Intelligence's co-operation are with them. In fact, no amount of pressure, howsoever weighty, can compel the elements bent on creating mayhem in Kashmir from committing excesses on innocent lives.
Pakistan President GenPervez Musharraf, a Mohajir, appears to be playing into the hands of these people. Though he has tried his best to clear the ISI of Gen Mohmud Ahmed-type people, there are still many pawns in the agency who simply go against Gen Musharraf's plans. Even the Army is said to be not in the complete control of its supreme commander that Gen Musharraf is. A section of the Pakistan Army (read Punjabis) which is anti-India and anti-US is looking for an opportunity to corner Gen Musharraf and leave him no escape route. Senior Army official Lt Gen M.H. Usmani, Lahore Corps Commander Lt Gen. M. Aziz and Karachi Corps Commander T W. Ghazi are unhappy with the President for throwing Afghanistan at the feet of the Americans and handling the Kashmir issue in a casual manner.
Their clout within Pakistan's administrative set up is so strong that even after a major shake-off in both military and civilian ranks, a lot of officials having jehadi leanings enjoy a tacit relationship with these Army men. However, so long as the U.S.A is around the Pakistan President with unassailable protective gear, they cannot work openly against Gen Musharraf.
Gen Musharraf is enmeshed between American's crushing demand for more action against Al-Qaeda men and domestic compulsion to go slow against jehadi elements fighting in Kashmir. In no circumstances can he ignore these realities. Bushing off the U.S. demand means jeoparding his chair, and unheeding domestic compulsions on Kashmir means inviting a thret to his life.
His order to release activists of five fundamentalist outfits in Pakistan is a case in point to show his character. Action was taken against jehadi elements by Pakistani authorities in the aftermath of the January 12 commitment by President Musharraf to the world on terrorism. . Like a true sympathiser of jehadi forces, he told the Prime Minister of Pakistan-occupied Kashmir, Sikandar Hayat Khan during a meeting in Islamabad recently that his government would continue to extend "moral, political and diplomatic" support for the cause of Kashmir. A senior Pentagon official has been quoted by the Washington Post as complaining that "our guys have not been getting the cooperation" requested from the Pakistani government to nab Osama bin Laden's men. Despite this the Bush administration is not ready to take the Pakistan President by the scruff. In fact, it is prepared to give him the benefit of doubt.
But will India do the same? " No", says Commodore CUday Bhaskar of the Institute of Defence Studies and Analysis. According to him, New Delhi should take firm politico-diplomatic action against Pakistan before resorting to any punitive action like war against that country. "War is not a solution for stopping infiltration. India should first exhaust all diplomatic options at its disposal," says, Commodore Bhaskar.
True, New Delhi appears to be following the same strategy. After it has told New Delhi-based Pakistan High Commissioner Ashraf Jahangir Qazi to leave India within a week, it has planned to divest Pakistan of the MFN( most favoured nation) status. Besides, India is also engaged in aheavy military build up along the international border and the Line of Control. Ostensibly, all this is being done to put pressure on Islamabad to mend its ways and check infiltration which has in recent days increased to a large extent. In the month of April alone, as many as 300 incidents of infiltration had been reported. Till the second week of May, no less than 10 dozen incidents of infiltration and over 90 killings, including the Kaluchak massacre were reported. Obviously, this kind of massive infiltration and killings cannot take place without the connivance of Pak authorities. But as usual Islamabad says New Delhi has no evidence to cite Pakistan's involvement in the mayhem and violence in Jammu and Kashmir. Exercises by the Indian military along the western and northern bor
ders have started afresh. Pakistan too has put its forces on high alert.

   

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