fter eight hours of debate, the Indian
Parliament committed the nation to stand by the Vajpayee government
for a suitable reaction to the dastardly act of terrorism against
children and families of army personnel in Jammu on May 14. Brave
words were used to condemn the act of terrorism and demands were
made for strong action, reaction and direct strikes and crossing of
borders to end terrorism that was being funneled and fuelled from
across the border. But these words did not add any substance to the
debate for no one tried to analyse the fact why the terrorists
selected children and families of the armed personnel for their
dastardly strike. Their ulterior motive was only to provoke India
into limited war with Pakistan.
Similar brave words were used in the two Houses
of Parliament after Parliament House was chosen by Pak-trained
terrorists to strike at the sovereignty of the Indian Republic on
December 13 last year. In a stern diplomatic offensive against
Pakistan, India deployed its armed forces across the borders with
Pakistan. India recalled its envoy from Islamabad and stopped the
use of air space by Pakistan even for civil aviation. However soon
every politician had mentally adjusted to the forces remaining
deployed at the border without exchanging a bullet for six months or
without any overt activity. Only Union Ministers occasionally
reminded the nation, through their assertive statements, that the
forces would remain deployed at the borders unless Pakistan took
decisive action against the terrorist outfits. The evidence of
decisive action by Pakistan would be in handing over the twenty
terrorists that India had named in its submitted list, as wanted for
trial for acts of terrorism in India. But other politicians got busy
in their normal political activities. No one realised that the
period of inactivity was only indication that yet another incident
was round the corner.
The terrorists had failed to provoke India to
take a decisive strike against Pakistan even after they had the
audacity to strike at the very symbol of Indian sovereignty. The
terrorists’ objective is to provoke a war between India and Pakistan
so that they could get possession of the defeated Pakistan with
General Pervez Musharraf languishing in some hole. Only then they
unfold their dream of a full-scale jehad against India. With their
control over the nuclear arsenal possessed by Pakistan, they could
pose a real threat not only to India and but would also hold the
world to ransom.
General Musharraf might have managed to win a
referendum with an overwhelming support that has installed him as
the head of the state in Pakistan for the next five years but he is
not a full command of the situation in Pakistan because the ISI
continues to be a parallel centre of power in Pakistan. It continues
to train and support the jehadis in training camps across the Line
of Control between the two neighbours. The kidnapping and murder of
the American media person Daniel Pearl in January this year and also
blowing up of a bus carrying French engineers in Karachi, who were
working on the Pakistani submarine project were clear indication
that Musharraf was not in command of the situation nor was he in a
position to realise the dream that he had unfolded in his famous
address to the world on January 12 this year when he had promised to
modernise the bigoted Pakistani through improvement in education in
madrasas in Pakistan. Even in the midst of the war drums that were
being beaten by politicians of different hues and colours, the moot
question that India has to address is whether provocative action
would be to the ultimate benefit of India. Probably the United
States of America is building up pressure on India to desist from
any direct action only because the U.S.A. administration sees a
greater danger in weakening of General Musharraf. It might fear that
weakening of the administration in Pakistan would be an invitation
to the Taliban forces to move over to Pakistan and then continue
their war against the world. Others argue that yesterday’s bad guy,
General Musharraf, had become a hero in the eyes of the U.S.A. only
because the U.S.A. administration perceives a danger in his removal.
However, India also has to consider that if it did not take some
concrete and direct action, it would only encourage the terrorists
to come for yet another strike for no action by India would merely
show that India was too weak and soft a nation.
Yet military action is no remedy for eradication
of terrorism. The United States of America and Britain had, with
full the approval of the United Nations and other nations, used
their military might against the Taliban regime in Afghanistan for
ending terrorism. Yet it has not succeeded in ending terrorism nor
had it succeeded in the original purpose of nabbing the exiled
Arabian millionaire Osama bin Laden or his much-hated organisation
Al Quaeda. Osama bin Laden has disappeared without leaving a trace.
Even the Taliban leaders have succeeded in vanishing without a
trace. The military action ended only in the installation of a
U.S.A. friendly regime in Afghanistan. But the U.S.A. has not been
able to trace the entire Taliban cabinet or Osama bin Laden. Even
the Royal Marines who carried out a month-long combing operation
could not trace the vanished soldiers of the Taliban. It was obvious
that they have found a safe haven. It is also apparent that such a
safe haven could only be in the tribal region of Pakistan but the
U.S.A. is not in a position to carry out a combing operation inside
Pakistan. General Musharraf has probably convinced them that any
such operation would be a sure exit for him. The pestilence of
terrorism cannot end by knee-jerk reactions nor can it end if the
victim state goes to sleep after each incident of terrorism. The
diplomatic offensive that India had launched against Pakistan after
December 13 has not proved to be an effective solution to encourage
General Musharraf to strike heavily against the terrorist outfits
that were active in their jehad against India. In fact, General
Musharraf was obviously playing a double game. He had taken action
against the groups that were named by the U.S.A. but he has not
moved even an inch against the groups that were active against
India. His stance on Kashmir shows no change till yesterday. He has
again reiterated that Pakistan would continue to provide diplomatic
and moral support to the people of Kashmir who were engaged in a
struggle for freedom. As a senior official of Pakistan said no one
in the world was buying the theory that terrorism in Kashmir was a
freedom struggle. Yet a totally weakened or undemocratic Pakistan is
not a solution for India. Only a democratic and modernised Pakistan
can provide some respite from terrorism. Thus the solution still
remains within Pakistan and with the people and rulers of Pakistan.
India would have to find a way to put pressure on General Musharraf
to take concrete action to dismantle the terrorist camps inside
Pakistan that have begun to turn against Pakistan itself as the
Karachi bus bomb clearly indicates. India needs to convince the
U.S.A that it would be in the larger interest of the world if
General were forced to act decisively.
The anger displayed in the two Houses of
Parliament during the eight -hour debate in each House merely
indicated that it was against the attack in Jammu. The whole nation
had gone to sleep for five months after having passed a similar
resolution at the end of a long debate on the attack of December 13
last year. India has now again woken up to retaliatory frenzy in a
reaction to an episode instead of discussing the comprehensive
situation of national security. There was no need to seek a
consensus or even have a unanimous resolution to condemn the act of
terrorism. No one in this country disagrees that terrorism is a
cancer that needs to be stamped out. But it cannot be treated
episodically. Each episode was only with a purpose of provoking the
nation into action of a kind that was the desired by the terrorists.
But if the State fell prey to their provocation, it would be only
responding to what the terrorists want. Can India afford to act as a
response to what the terrorists want or should India have a
long-term and effective strategy to deal with the situation instead
of a knee-jerk reaction and response to every incident of terrorist
violence? India has to display its anger and indignation against the
dastardly act of terrorism. It cannot remain silent or inactive. Yet
the options for action are limited with doubts about their efficacy.
In his heart, every politician knows that India’s
options were limited to remaining awake all the time and taking
preventive measures against yet another strike by the terrorists in
a different part of the country. Words of war sound very sweet to
some ears. But the cost of translating these words of war into
action is very heavy and leaves a lasting impact on the psyche and
also on the economy of the nation. The suggested option of the
limited war with selective strikes at the camps inside Pakistan was
out the of hands of India.
The time taken to come to a decision and open
debate over such an option would certainly have put Pakistan on the
alert and prepared to make India pay a bloody price. The Home
Ministry assures us through the Pioneer that there were 75
training camps spread across the Line of Control inside Pakistan
where 3000 to 4000 terrorists including those who have fled from
Afghanistan were holed up. They can be the targets as the U.S.A and
Britain had made the hideout of Osama bin Laden as the main target.
However, the American Air Force might was not able to destroy the
terrorists.
It destroyed merely the tents and structures that
were used by the terrorists of Al Quaeda. Does India have such a
might to sustain air strikes for such a long duration and deep
inside enemy territory? How long can India sustain the air strikes
is a question that needs to be answered before India embarks on such
a serious adventure. The nation is now all dressed up to go
somewhere. The war drums are being beaten. The Vajpayee government
has been given carte blanche for suitable action. The nation
has been told that it would be taken into confidence on action in
due course of time.
Indian missions have been told to alert the host
nations and apprise them of the situation. The world is being told
that India was ready to strike but against who? The U.S.A had Osama
bin Laden and the Taliban forces in Afghanistan to target though its
operation ended without destroying either of them. What do we have
to target and destroy? This question needs serious thought.