Atal
Bihari Vajpayee’s desire to go down in history as a great Prime
Minister,like Indira Gandhi and Jawaharlal Nehru before him, was mainly
responsible for the moderation and pluralism which had come to mark his
programmes and policies ever since he became the leader of the National
Democratic Alliance ruling the country. But electoral compulsions,
anxiety to come back to power again and keep RSS leaders in good humour
is making him abandon all that. With the forthcoming elections in his
mind, Hindutva is again becoming the core issue of his policies and
programmes.
State Assembly elections are due
to take place in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh in early 2003 and in
Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Delhi and Chhatisgarh in the later part of
the same year. Again, early in 2004, elections are due in Orissa,
Karnataka and Bihar. It is clear to the Prime Minister and other
Bharatiya Janata Party leaders that unless their candidates romp home in
large numbers in the Assembly elections, chances of the party emerging a
winner in the parliamentary polls to be held later in 2004 cannot be
bright.
That the Vajpayee-led Central
government’s record is far from impressive became clear to the party
ideologues when the BJP was routed in the Assembly polls in U. P.,
Uttaranchal, Punjab and Delhi. Now, to swing the polls in their favour
again, they are resorting to the revival of Hindutva, which was mainly
responsible for their party doing well in the elections in 1985 and
1991. Since the Ram Temple slogans had helped the party raise its
strength from two in 184 members in the Lok Sabha in the last general
election in 1999, these slogans will be heard again. Vinay Katiyar, one
of the most dedicated champions of the Ram Temple, has been made the BJP
chief in Uttar Pradesh.
For the same reasons, the Gujarat
Chief Minister, Narender Modi, despite his failure to check atrocities
against the minority community after the Godhra incident in the State,
remains firmly in the saddle. Already, there are reports that Uma
Bharati will be deployed to lead the party in the polls in Madhya
Pradesh and Vijay Raje Scindia would be entrusted the responsibility for
Rajasthan. All these changes are being planned to raise the pitch of the
Hindutva slogans. So far, the Congress, which is the country’s main
opposition party at the moment, is counting on widespread disenchantment
with the Vajpayee government. But how will it succeed in countering
communal frenzy likely to be raised by the RSS and its allies remains to
be seen.
Even during the recent Cabinet
reshuffle the Prime Minister had elections in mind. Instead of making
changes for giving a facelift to his government, he resorted to measures
which would fortify the BJP for the coming battle of the hustings. Among
those inducted into the Cabinet were two Bollywood stars. Apparently, it
was hoped that their star appeal would help swell BJP rallies.
In fact, the long-awaited Cabinet
reshuffle which the Prime Minister himself had said would be a major
exercise turned out to be an anti-climax. Several ministers who had been
marked for their non-performance remained untouched. Several others
doing good jobs in the departments under their charge were shifted
without any justification. .
All this happened because Vajpayee
was more worried about the elections next year than any other thing. The
appointment of L. K. Advani, Union Home Minister, as the Deputy Prime
Minister, certainly clarified the position regarding Vajpayee’s
successor. That Advani was already No 2 leader in the party was
well-known. He was given the official nomenclature of Deputy Prime
Minister in the hope that this would help him make a better impact on
the electorate while campaigning for the party. Venkaiah Naidu and Arun
Jaitley who have been relieved of their ministerial portfolios and
deployed for party work were among the effective ministers who had made
their presence felt in the departments under their charge. That both
these articulate leaders would be able to turn the tables against other
parties in the elections seems unlikely at the moment. For quite some
time, there was a lot of speculation in the media that Yashwant Sinha’s
days as Finance Minister are numbered. But instead of showing him the
door, the Prime Minister has made him the new Minister for External
affairs. Although he may do as well as his predecessor, Jaswant Singh ,
his presence in the Cabinet is not going to enhance the party’s
reputation. Jaswant Singh, who has been relieved of the Foreign Affairs
portfolio and made the new Finance Minister was conducting diplomatic
relations with ease and aplomb befitting the office he was occupying.
In fact, the long-awaited
reshuffle of the Union Cabinet, far from solving the problems facing the
government, seems to have created quite a few more. The Kashmir leader,
Farooq Abdullah, had for long set his sights on an important position at
the Centre. Whatever one may say about the ministerial changes, the fact
that Kashmir is still a very sensitive issue cannot be denied. While
conceding the Prime Minister’s right to constitute his Cabinet according
to his own discretion, the Trinamul Congress leader, Mamata Banerjee,
who is a supporter of the National Democratic Alliance government , is
bitter that her claim for the Railway portfolio has been ignored.
Actually, whatever hope there was that the Cabinet reshuffle would help
improve the government’s image was belied. As pointed out by several
commentators, the BJP’s decline is mainly the result of widespread
disenchantment with the party’s failure to end corruption in government
offices at all levels; the disappearance of jobs thanks to job-and-cash
rackets, which have already come to light in Punjab and Maharashtra; and
the rapid deterioration of health, education and other infrastructural
facilities.