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Policy
orientations of the big powers are key external factors for easing the
confrontation between India and Pakistan. With traditional interests
in South Asia, China and Russia are worrying about being entangled
between them. Thus, a common point in China and Russia’s policies
towards this issue is to prevent an adverse situation from developing.
Geographically, China adjoins the South Asian region. China and India
have maintained sound political relations of mutual support and
co-operation in the long-term international political struggle though
border and territorial disputes due to historical reasons still exist
between the two countries. The ‘Five Principles of Peaceful
Coexistence’ initiated by China and India not only serve as a
political basis of relations between the two countries, but are also
universally acknowledged norms of international relations. Also, China
and Pakistan have formed close relations of strategic co-operation in
the struggle against hegemonism. Therefore, China hopes that such
relations will not be damaged due to conflicts or a war between India
and Pakistan.
It is understandable that Russia
hopes that India and Pakistan will make efforts to mitigate the
strained situation. However, China and Russia have different aims
regarding this issue. China’s development cannot be isolated from the
rest of the world. A sound international environment and a relatively
stable security situation in surrounding areas have been important
conditions guaranteeing the sustained and rapid development of China
over the past 20 years. Therefore, it does not want the deterioration
of strained relations between India and Pakistan to produce negative
effects on China’s development, nor does it want to see the
India-Pakistan conflict turning into a war by extremist religious
forces, which will affect the internal stability of China. It also
hates to see the escalation of the India-Pakistan conflict leading to
military interference by external forces, which will worsen the threat
to the security of China.
For Russia, South Asia has
always been a key region in its external security strategy. In recent
years, its South Asia policy has been aimed at restoring and expanding
its influence on the region’s political, economic, military and
security fields. The escalation of tension in India-Pakistan relations
is bound to result in policy adjustment of external forces that are
concerned about, and have been trying to interfere in, South Asian
affairs. This will pose a new and severe challenge to Russia’s
strategic achievements in South Asia. |