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Not a bad year for Mother India
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BY SANJIV KUMAR
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India sang songs - from Bollywood hits to nuanced
diplomatese in 2003, and joint peace drills and peace theater attempted
to stitch together its unravelling relations with Pakistan. In the
process, India took center-stage in the sub-
continent, despite communal violence and terrorism, corruption in
politics and sundry domestic problems. An upsurge in the economy, an
assertive international presence at the World Trade Organisation in
Cancun, Mexico, Bollywood winning hearts, if not minds, even overseas,
and the feel-good cricket win Down Under - all in all, it has rather
been a satisfactory year for the world's most populous democracy.
India's offer of the "hand of friendship" and
Pakistan's cautious but positive response leave the world waiting to see
if the two nuclear adversaries really mean what they say. Is this a
turning point for lasting peace between India and Pakistan? Or is it yet
another false dawn like the 1999 Lahore and 2001 Agra summits. The
present moment could well produce a breakthrough if both sides seize the
opportunity and do the necessary spadework without raising unrealistic
expectations.
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Women make headway
THE temple-mosque tangle remained unresolved, after
the Shankaracharya of Kanchi Kamakoti Peetam, Sri Jayendra Saraswati’s
negotiations with the All India Muslim Personal Law Board over the Ram
Janmbhoomi-Babri Masjid site ran into rough weather. The matter remains
sub-judice. However, the related evidence of terrorism was not as
perceptible as last year.
It seems that the healing touch of Jammu and Kashmir
Chief Minister Mufti Mohammed Sayeed paid some dividends, but the larger
question still remains. On the brighter side, major communal violence
did not surface again and the country is well on the way to exorcising
the ghost of Hindu-Muslim communal violence in Gujarat. Though India has
improved its position on the survey of the world’s most corrupt nations,
where it ranked 82nd out of 133 countries, several episodes proved once
again that corruption has become a way of life in the country. Two
episodes involving politicians were a "disgrace and a black spot" on the
future of Indian democracy, said Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee,
and he questioned how long the country would depend on capitalists to
fight elections. Visibly upset over such incidents, the Prime Minister
had a reason to be happy as his party, BJP, won state assembly elections
in three Congress-governed states — Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and
Rajasthan. Also, for the first time Rajasthan elected a female Chief
Minister, Vasundhara Raje. Three women chief ministers, out of the four
states that went to polls in December last, represent an increasingly
positive trend for women politicians, though a tonsured Uma Bharati and
a sophisticated Sheila Dixit comprise a motley group. Meanwhile, the
saffron juggernaut prior to the general election next year puts Congress
president Sonia Gandhi and her gang in a dilemma over the charisma and
prospects of the dynasty.
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Record reserves
THE year ended with a bang as the country’s foreign
exchange reserve crossed the historic US$100 billion mark, vaulting
India into the big league of only five emerging market nations that have
such high reserves, though still falling behind its nearest competitor
China by almost $300 billion. The economy has been humming with a
feel-good factor, mainly due to a good monsoon and excellent corporate
performances.
Economic activity picked up, boosted by restructuring
efforts in the industrial sector, a drop in interest rates to 30-year
lows and the best monsoon since 1988, which is likely to augment
foodgrain output this year to a record 220 million tons. The spurt in
agricultural production gave momentum to output in industry and services
as well. Adding to the good news, only a brief and small spike in
inflation took place just after the war in Iraq.
Tax collections have been by and large on target.
Declaring the economy’s fundamentals to be strong, the Vajpayee
Government jacked up its projection for GDP growth for the current
financial year to more than 7 per cent from 6 per cent, outpacing the
previous year’s 4.3 per cent. Further, private investment in industry
has revived. The present spell of buoyancy in the capital market, if it
lasts, will encourage outlays.
The fear of imports still haunts industry but the
China syndrome that seemed to weaken confidence in the late 1990s has
largely disappeared. Both should push investment in industry. But
revival of private investment does not reflect its counterpart’s health:
public sector investment. Bogged by policy uncertainty and government
indifference, it is most evident in petroleum and telecom sectors. And
less said the better about capital expenditure by the Centre and state
governments.
As the events leading to the collapse of WTO talks at
Cancun unfolded, India’s fortunes swayed dramatically as it took to
center-stage the concerns of developing countries. The most important
factor, which helped the Indian delegation in the Mexican meeting, was
unanimity of national opinion behind the broad stand. It was well that
the government consulted with political parties, trade unions, industry
associations and other stakeholders prior to the meet. However, back
home, the government got a jolt as the Supreme Court restrained the
Centre from proceeding with the privatisation of two major public sector
enterprises — Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd and Bharat Petroleum
Corporation Ltd, holding that disinvestment in them could not take place
without prior Parliament approval.
But two multinational soft drinks giants received the
biggest blow of the year. The expose by the Centre for Science and the
Environment on the presence of pesticides in Pepsi and Coca-Cola bottles
dealt a body-blow to the two arch-rivals, so much so that they joined
forces to contest the findings. But the sales of both the soft drinks
brands took a nosedive despite an advertising blitzkrieg with repackaged
Shah Rukh Khan and Aamir Khan.
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Keeping a distance from Iraq war
War was the buzz theme in the global arena as the US
waged the battle against Iraq to "save the world" from Iraqi weapons of
mass destruction, which never materialised. In the beginning, the US
reason seemed to be convincing. Later, the US claim and reasoning proved
hollow after US troops swept through Iraq, and combed the country - but
no weapons were found.
India, which opposed the war and US unilateralism in
waging it, did not contribute troops.
Eight months later, America found a grubby and
bearded Saddam Hussein hiding in an underground "spider hole" near a
farmhouse outside his hometown of Tikrit, in a swift raid conducted
without casualties. And now the former dictator of Iraq will face the
justice he denied to the millions.
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Disasters, carnage and stampedes
As in other years, Indian
Railways sustained a bleak accident record. Fifty-one people were killed
when three coaches of a train of the Konkan Railways derailed at a
tunnel entrance near Kankavali in Sindhudurg district of Maharashtra,
after rain washed boulders onto the track. Then 36 people died from a
fire, which broke out in a rear car of the Golden Temple Express. At
least 100 people were
killed in Himachal Pradesh when a flash flood swept through a make-shift
tent site where labourers were sleeping. They were building a tunnel
through a mountain near the popular summer resort town of Kulu, as part
of a hydro-power project.
As many as 40 people were
feared dead and 30 others injured after a stampede broke out at the
Kumbh Mela in Nashik. The stampede occurred as an estimated 4,000,000
pilgrims crowded to bathe in the Godavari River. In another disaster, 21
people were burnt to death because of a row over jobs at a tea
plantation in the Dooars area of West Bengal. The dispute began when a
local union leader at the Dalgaon Tea Estate wanted to hire three
"outsiders", sparking outrage among local workers. Terrorist strikes
continued. The Mumbai blasts in the diamond market of Zaveri Bazaar and
at the Gateway of India revived the memories of previous years’
disasters. The terrorists were successful in their Mumbai mission,
killing 52 and wounding more than 150 in India’s economic capital.
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Sport milestones and magic
After 20 years, India got a chance to win the cricket
World Cup again, making the final, but the team collapsed like a house
of cards against Ricky Ponting’s Australian squad. Thus the dream of
captain Sourav Ganguly and his band of merry men turned sour as they
lost to the Aussies by 125 runs, failing to repeat their 1983 feat. The
only saving grace was that master blaster Sachin Tendulkar became ‘’Man
of the Series’’ in the World Cup. The Indian batting maestro with 669
runs had an unassailable lead in the race for World Cup’s top individual
prize.
However, every dog has his day and that came when
India defeated the world champions in their own den by four wickets
after 22 years. It was an amazing come-from-behind victory at the
Adelaide Oval, similar to a marathon runner storming his way home to the
victory podium after being hopelessly placed at the beginning of a
gruelling 42 km run.
The men to be admired for making possible this
fantastic fight-back are Rahul Dravid, who has slowly and surely taken
over the mantle from Tendulkar as the kingpin of the Indian batting
lineup, and V V Laxman, the Hyderabadi with the magical wrist. There was
another man in the scheme of things. A bowler who has come out of the
woods - Ajit Agarkar. His 6 for 41 was nothing short of a magical
performance.
At last, hockey has bounced back to rekindle memories
of India’s golden past. It came a close second to cricket in terms of
victories and popularity, if not on the financial fronts. India won the
Asia Cup after beating Pakistan in the final, and booked a World Cup
ticket three years in advance. They again defeated Pakistan in the
Afro-Asian Games to clinch the gold, but lost to the arch-rival for the
bronze medal in the Champions Trophy. Golf had also its say in the year
as Arjun Atwal became the first Indian ever to make it to the most
prestigious golfing circuit in the world - the US PGA Tour - after a
sterling final round performance in the Qualifying School. His card of
three-under 69 in the final stage of the US PGA Tour Qualifying School
ensured him a pride of place in India’s golfing history.
In athletics, this was a year no less memorable for
India. Anju Bobby George hasn’t made it to the Athens Olympics yet but
the bronze medal at the World Athletics Championships was an achievement
that made the country proud after a long time. The year also saw the
World Snooker Crown firmly on the head of 18-year-old Pankaj Advani,
ending a 19-year drought for India. He outplayed second seed Saleh
Mohammad of Pakistan 11-6 at Jiangmen in China. The first snooker title
for India came in 1984 when late O B Agarwal won it in Dublin defeating
T Parson of Wales.
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Boom time for Bollywood
Reeling under flop after flop for the past two years,
Bollywood heaved a sigh of relief with mega hits evenly distributed
across the year, though it could not stave off its usual share of big
budget disasters. At the top of the list of major disappointments were
Sooraj Barjatya’s Main Prem Ki Diwani Hoon, Honey Irani’s
Armaan, Anil Sharma’s spy thriller The Hero and Kaizad
Gustad’s Boom. These films raised high hopes but faced equivocal
rejection from the masses.
The question is not which movies were the biggest
grosser: KHNH or Hrithik-starrer Koi Mil Gaya or Bachchan-led
Baghban, but these blockbusters effected a turnaround in the
fortune and future of the dream world. And the industry is all set to
start 2004 with a string of promising films.
Life, at times, can be stranger than fiction.
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