President
Mohammed Khatami visits India at a time when the Iranians are feeling
restive about the slow pace of reform and economic growth. He has not
been able to deliver on the promises he had made before being elected
President twice with massive support. The clergy, which still controls
the levers of power, has stonewalled every move of his to introduce
liberal democracy and religious and social freedoms and break the
regime’s isolation. Though sympathetic to reform, Khatami seems to have
reconciled to the situation, while continuing efforts to establish the
rule of law and to help his people breathe the air of freedom.
Last month, nearly 10,000 people battled the police
and Basit (the clerics’ militia) in the streets of Teheran in a show of
support for reformist students in the Modarras University and a sign of
wide dissatisfaction with the regime. Following closely the soccer riots
and teachers’ strike, the mass show of protest, joined also by chador-clad
women, shows that the people have not given up the fight against the
conservatives.
The students were protesting against the death
sentence given to Prof. Hashem Aghajani, a prominent reformist, for
asking the people not to blindly follow religious leaders. Even though
Khatami denounced Aghajani’s punishment as "inappropriate," he did
little else and even cancelled his customary Students Day address at the
University. The police baton-charged the demonstrators, injuring many.
President Khatami and Ayatollah Khomeni have co-operated, though
uneasily, since the former’s first election, in the face of stiff
opposition from the conservatives and the demonstrators have not
succeeded in driving a wedge between them. The reformists, however, won
a small victory earlier when, in response to protests, the Supreme
leader agreed to ‘pardon’ a jailed member of Parliament, Hossein
Loghmanian, and two others, sentenced to 10 months in prison for
criticising the judiciary during their speeches in Parliament. Khatami
admitted that the judiciary had invaded the legislature and violated the
Constitution by prosecuting lawmakers despite their parliamentary
immunity.
The confrontation came to a head when speaker Mehdi
Karroubi threatened to resign if the judiciary kept encroaching upon his
area of authority and had staged a walkout along with 60 other members
of parliament. The situation was defused when Ayatollah Khomeni, who
holds overall charge of the judicial system, the police and broadcasting
organisations, relented, though he refused to accept the concept of
parliamentary immunity.
Before seeking re-election in May 2001, Khatami had
expressed distress and helplessness over the state of affairs and
confessed that the head of state did not have adequate prerogatives to
do his job. The President was unable to stop violations of the
Constitution or ensuring its proper implementation, which weakened
democracy and threatened to stir up tension. He has hardly ever publicly
challenged the structure, preferring instead, to work within it,
tinkering with it where he could and trying to bring about change
through persuasion, rather than confrontation. Khatami has spent more
time restraining his supporters from pressing extreme demands beyond the
rigid Islamic code than in fighting the conservatives to get these
demands fulfilled. His pleas to remove the constitutional ambiguities
and restraints so that he could do his job properly have gone unheeded.
Khatami is not the supreme leader or the final court
of appeal; the slot belongs to Ayatollah Khomeni. The other
supra-legislative bodies, the Guardians Council and the Expediency
Council that oversee the government, judiciary and parliament, are so
heavily conservative-dominated that the reformists have not been able to
get approval to greater relaxation of the system and reform. Khatami
thus faces a difficult task of governance and needs friends like India
to expand economic interaction and trade and counter the West’s
sanctions, which are still in place.
The population has doubled since the 1979 revolution
and the regime has found it difficult to meet the growing aspirations of
the people. Per capita income has remained more or less static,
unemployment has soared and inflation still rules high. Apart from the
tremendous economic pressure, a major challenge to the regime has come
from domestic political questioning of the role of the clergy that tends
to become authoritarian and a shade fundamentalist.
In the past few years, New Delhi and Teheran have
drawn closer in their appreciation of the regional security environment,
vitiated by the developments in Afghanistan and Pakistan’s role in
promoting the despicable Taliban regime. India and Iran both endorse
political moderation and oppose extremist tendencies and terrorism in
the region. India supports Khatami’s call for a dialogue among
civilisations to foster general understanding and tolerance and
avoidance of military conflict. The two countries share a multi
dimensional commonality of interests and have a congruence of benefits
in economic and security matters.
Khatami and Vajpayee will try to build on the growing
convergence of their political and economic interests. Bilateral
relations have evolved considerably since 1993 when former Prime
Minister P. V. Narasimha Rao travelled to Iran on what was characterised
as a landmark visit. Vajpayee’s visit to Iran weeks before Khatami was
re-elected President for the second term, reflected the new level of
political comfort between the two nations.
President visits India after his three-day Pakistan
journey in December, during which he pursued the proposal of an overland
gas pipeline from Iran to India through Pakistan. Pakistan has
reiterated its assurance for the security of the $ 4 billion gas
pipeline and it sees enormous economic benefits from it in terms of
annual royalty, as well as cheaper gas.
But India’s concerns have not been addressed due to
the prevailing tension with Pakistan. India has emerged as the world’s
fifth largest consumer of petroleum and its future requirements will be
enormous. Khatami, who will discuss the proposal with Vajpayee feels
that the gas pipeline will cement bilateral ties and contribute greatly
to regional peace and stability. Both countries have a shared interest
in the stability of Central Asia, where they have developed strong
political and cultural links. There is need for focussed efforts to
utilise the untapped potential of bilateral relations, and Khatami’s
visit is a step in that direction.