On
January 29, Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee undertook the most
significant of his all-too-frequent Cabinet reshuffles. It is another
thing that political analysts insist on calling it the Deputy Prime
Minister’s reshuffle and not Vajpayee’s. The distinction is irrelevant
as both Vajpayee and Advani are the topmost members of the Cabinet.
There may be major political perceptions on who upstaged whom in
reinventing the cabinet, but the fact is that it has been done and
although the political significance varies according to different
political analysts, everybody including the media is broadly in
agreement that it will prove good for the economy. The bare bones are
that eight ministers were dropped and eight new ministers were
inducted, all 16 belonging to the Bharatiya Janata Party.
This last is very significant as it appears to
indicate that the BJP, labouring as it does under political and
coalition pressures and compulsions, appreciates that political
manoeuvring at the cost of the economy has reached a point of no
return and, pre-election year or not, economic reforms cannot be
ignored any further.
Basically, three postings (and changes) in the
Cabinet underpin the BJP’s focus on the economy. These are: the
shifting of Telecommunications Minister Pramod Mahajan, the induction
of Arun Jaitley and the assigning of important new portfolios to Arun
Shourie who continues to control the Ministry of Disinvestment as
well. Ironically, the Finance Ministry which, ever since independence,
was the centre of all economic activity, has not figured in the change
of departments except that it has regained the Department of Company
Affairs. This indicates the BJP’s perception that the need of reforms
is now more in the non-financial areas than in the banks and credit
policies which are now mostly in the hands of regulators, including
that super-regulator the Reserve Bank of India, and are amenable to
tweaking within a fixed overall policy umbrella.
Pramod Mahajan: The most significant aspect of
the reshuffle concerns this blue-eyed boy of the BJP who has been
touted as a dynamic youthful leader and, in some quarters, even as
being in the queue for the prime minister’s post. Intelligent, capable
of understanding the complex pushes and pulls of a technological
portfolio such as Telecommunications, Mahajan has shown that he has
the ability. Unfortunately, somewhere along the way, he developed an
in-your-face arrogance that became more and more evident and
ultimately proved embarrassing to the party in power and also
alienated industry and the general public.
The latter sections were somewhat put off by his
designer life style and arrogant public pronouncements. For instance,
in a TV interview by Veer Sanghvi, Mahajan was asked how many
air-conditioners he had at home and he nonchalantly replied, "I don’t
know, about six or eight." In a country where most people cannot
afford even a ceiling fan, this was not appreciated by the people.
Again, when A. P. J. Abdul Kalam was the president-elect, Mahajan
tried to stage-manage his first press conference and was quite
overbearing towards Kalam. The latter, of course, in his quiet manner,
made him understand that he was quite capable of handling the press by
himself. Nor did Mahajan’s statement that Kalam and Shekhawat (the
Vice President) were successful satellite launches of the BJP gain him
any
kudos.
Where he proved an embarrassment to the BJP and
earned the dislike of the telecom industry was his tendency to treat
TRAI as a handmaiden of the Ministry, his overt inclination towards a
major private player in the telecom field (why mince words, it was
Reliance) and this knowingly allowing BSNL and MTNL to bar
connectivity to cell companies during the-cell versus-basic
controversy result in great inconvenience to the general public. That
the media connected him to a sensational murder case did not help him
any.
So, Mahajan’s marching orders from the
Telecommunications Ministry was a strong indicator that the BJP did
not want anybody playing ducks and drakes with the sunrise industry.
Arun Jaitley: Also young, a very intelligent
Supreme Court lawyer specialising in constitutional matters and brash,
but in a sophisticated manner unlike Pramod Mahajan. Jaitley was on
the verge of initiating some much wanted-judicial reforms, including
throwing out many ancient legislations and reducing the number of
appeals permitted and, in short, making sure that justice was not
denied by virtue of delay. He had ruffled the feathers of that section
of the legal fraternity whose livelihood depended on delaying justice
and there were quite a few protests against his proposals.
Unfortunately, Jaitley was deputed to party work in Gujarat where he
was instrumental in ensuring that the BJP retained the State in the
recent elections. His re-induction into the Cabinet may be seen as a
reward for his good work for the party but it does not gainsay his
ability or dedication to legal reforms in the country. That he has
been given back his previous law portfolio indicates the realisation
that legal reforms are as much, if not more essential, than financial
reforms in improving the image of India in the investing community,
both domestic and foreign. It is also a commitment on the NDA agenda.
That Arun Jaitley has also been entrusted with the
very important economic portfolio of commerce and industry adds weight
to the BJP’s focus on the Indian economy. We can now expect speedy
reforms in the legal area and also a much more pragmatic approach to
World Trade Organisation compulsions.
Arun Shourie: The epitome of what a public man
should be. Soft spoken, capable of pragmatic initiatives and the
ability to defend them logically, Arun Shourie has taken full
advantage of his tremendous journalistic skills in sensitising the
Government to the need for an essential, but very controversial,
aspect of reforms—the divestment of Government involvement in business
activities. Since most ministries (and ministers) use the public
sector as milch cows, there was strong animus against Shourie’s
ministry. When he brought off the first major disinvestment programme
in India, the anti-brigade stepped up their opposition to such an
extent that it was freely speculated in the media and political
circles that Arun Shourie would soon exit the Ministry, or even the
Cabinet. It did not happen. Not only has Shourie retained the
Disinvestment Ministry, he has also been given Telecommunications and
Information Technology which were taken away from Pramod Mahajan.
There has already been a revolution in telecommunications in India
which has highlighted the country’s image on the world economic stage,
as quality and unrestricted communications are an essential component
in any foreign investment decision. Shourie can be trusted to continue
the reforms in this area and, more important, give back the dignity
and authority of regulatory authorities which were shamelessly usurped
by the ministry.
In short, regardless of the political and
ideological pressures which are claimed to have initiated the
ministerial merry-go-round, there can be little doubt that,
economically India is set to go places and for that the Bharatiya
Janata Party deserves full credit.