The
Prime Minister, Atal Behari Vajpayee, did not attend either the Lok
Sabha or the Rajya Sabha when the two Houses were discussing the most
burning issue of the day, the Gujarat situation, following the move by
the Narendra Modi government to seek an early election to the State
Assembly even before the communal strife and its consequences had
settled down. His absence was interpreted differently. Some read in it a
message that the Prime Minister was not too happy with the move made by
the Gujarat Chief Minister Narendra Modi of seeking early elections when
the world was criticising India for the communal strife in the State and
also the refusal of the State authorities to resettle those who had lost
their homes and properties. Hence, he conveyed his unhappiness by
remaining away from the two Houses when they were discussing the Gujarat
situation. Others felt that the Prime Minister allowed the Deputy Prime
Minister, Lal Krishna Advani, to fend for himself and the party since he
had blessed the Gujarat Chief Minister and certified him as the most
competent chief minister.
The Deputy Prime Minister, Lal Krishna Advani,
inadvertantly revealed the shift of the centre of power within the NDA
when he spoke at the National Executive of the BJP. He talked of the
four phases of development within the BJP. It was a clear indication
that he also thought that the Vajpayee era has come to an end with the
third phase though he had to make an amendment later when Ananth Kumar
told him how the media had interpreted his thinking placed before the
Executive.
Both the messages would convey the sharp differences
between the Prime Minister and the Deputy Prime Minister. But sources
close to the Prime Minister want to convince every one that he was tired
and hence did not put in an appearance even at the Parliamentary party
meeting of the Bharatiya Janata Party. Protocol and propriety demanded
his presence at the swearing-in ceremony of the President in the Central
Hall, so he attended that function. The sudden death of the Vice
President, Krishna Kant, and his funeral were also imperatives for him.
His difficult walk and weary face clearly showed that he was too tired
to perform physical functions.
There were no differences between Vajpayee and Advani
because they have been working together for nearly four decades. No
other team of two leaders has worked for such a long time in Indian
politics. Their methods might appear different but there were no
differences between the two and Advani was always consulting the Prime
Minister before initiating action. Even the two faces that they have,
one of a dove and the other of a hawk, were merely the imagination of
fertile brains. It is essentially a difference in their style of
perception and presentation. Both come to the same conclusions and
decisions in the end. Why has the Prime Minister suddenly become weary
since he elevated Lal Krishna Advani to make him the Deputy Prime
Minister and allowed him full freedom to choose the team for the party
in place of Jana Krishnamurthi and his team? The elevation of Lal
Krishna Advani on the basis of the proposal made by the Defence
Minister, George Fernandes, was a clear indication of the gradual
retirement of the Prime Minister from the active political arena. It
also signified the arrangements for the transition of the leadership as
and when it became necessary. No one would miss the significance either
inside the BJP or outside it. It would naturally spur the young
aspirants within the Bharatiya Janata Party as well as in the National
Democratic Alliance to switch their loyalties to the new emerging leader
rather than remain with the old and retiring leader who was clearly
showing signs of physical fatigue and weariness.
There have been such arrangements in six regimes in
the past also where there were deputy prime ministers. Nehru and the
Sardar team was in place from the beginning. The Indira-Morarji team was
in place after a confrontation between them and an election of the
Parliamentary party leader in January 1966 but it was not durable or
smooth working. Indira Gandhi had the advantage of age over Morarji
Desai, so loyalties did not change. In fact, Indira Gandhi had used the
uneasy presence of Morarji Desai in her team to build and consolidate
her base within the party that ultimately led to the great divide of the
Indian National Congress in November 1969.
Morarji Desai was himself forced to appoint two
deputy prime ministers, Jagjivan Ram and Charan Singh, after the turmoil
within the Janata Party in 1978. The ambitions of Charan Singh brought
down the Morarji Desai government. In turn, Charan Singh agreed to take
Yashwantrao Chavan as his deputy prime minister but Charan Singh did not
face the Lok Sabha even for an hour. Vishwanath Pratap Singh and
Chandrashekhar had both accepted Devi Lal as the deputy prime minister
in their regimes and both did not last long. The in-built confrontation
between V. P. Singh and Devi Lal took a toll of the V. P. Singh
government. And two Haryana constables caught at the All India Congress
Committee office provided a cause, however flimsy, for the Congress
Party to bring down the Chandrashekhar government. Thus, the six
experiments of having a deputy prime minister were a clear indication of
sharing power at the top.
The NDA did not have the second-in-command named
officially though every one had assumed that Lal Krishna Advani would be
disposing of the responsibilities as the second-in-command. In fact, he
had also presided over cabinet meetings in the absence of the Prime
Minister and had taken the momentous decision of imposing President’s
Rule in Bihar after communal clashes in the State.
Even though Lal Krishna Advani was not officially
named as second-in-command till July 1 this year, the BJP was clearly
divided into two camps. One owed its loyalty to Advani and there were
many who were attached to Vajpayee. Naming Advani formally as the deputy
prime minister has radically changed the situation. The first sign of
the fast-changing political equations within the BJP was available at
the meeting of its national executive at Panaji when the Prime Minister
was virtually compelled to give up his insistence for the resignation of
Narendra Modi holding him responsible for the communal carnage in
Gujarat. Advani differed sharply, for he felt that Narendra Modi had
handled the situation competently in the State and should be allowed to
go to the people and seek a fresh mandate. The overwhelming majority in
the executive endorsed his view. The Prime Minister revealed the fact in
the Rajya Sabha, a little later in the last days of the budget session
that he had made up his mind to remove Modi but the overwhelming
majority in the party had a different view. Since the Panaji session,
developments within the BJP were rapid. The controversial report on the
health of the Prime Minister in Time magazine in its June 17
issue was also a part of these developments. The advisers around the
Prime Minister resisted the move initiated by Defence Minister George
Fernandes that Advani should be officially named the deputy prime
minister. The advisers around the Prime Minister could visualise that
this would not be merely a sharing of power and authority between the
two offices. It would have been sharing only if the Prime Minister was
in full command of his physical condition. Then, there was also the
stark reality that the face and charisma of Vajpayee had failed to
garner votes for the BJP in State after State in the Assembly polls in
the last three years. It certainly would tempt the younger generation
within the party to look to returning to the corridors of power through
a new leader. The age and physical factors would influence all those who
mattered once a new leader emerged on the political scene within the
party.
The switch of loyalties would be quick and sudden.
Every one would be lining up at the doors of the Deputy Prime Minister
rather than rushing to the residence of the Prime Minister as they used
to for the last four years. Their fears have come true as the line-up at
the doors of the Deputy Prime Minister and the desolate looks of the
lawns of the official residence of the Prime Minister indicate. One
prominent columnist has come up with an explanation that the Prime
Minister was not tired of any one or any issue. He was merely tired of
the unnecessary details that ensued after important decisions. Hence, he
had decided to leave domestic affairs in the hands of the Deputy Prime
Minister while he attended to important international issues. Therefore,
he would now resume his efforts to normalise relations between India and
Pakistan since the United States of America and Britain were building up
pressure both on India and Pakistan to resume the dialogue.
To an extent, the explanation appears logical.
However, the norms and behaviour in the political arena suggest a
different picture. The Prime Minister cannot divide authority in such a
manner. He can assign specific tasks to specific persons without giving
up his own authority. He had carried on well for the first three years
in office without feeling the need of sharing his authority. Now he has
reluctantly handed over the mantle to a person who dominates not only in
party affairs but also within the government. It is bound to make the
Prime Minister wearier and isolate him further inside his office. As it
becomes apparent that party men were lining up at some other door and
not on his lawns, he would be in for further isolation. The laws,
politics and behaviour of human nature do not differ; politics is not
wedded to any specific ideology but is rooted in the ideals of the
power-seeking. The seniors in the party would continue to argue that the
BJP was a party with a difference but they would not be able to convince
that the people in the party were a different species. The inescapable
message in the changes that have been effected is that this is the
beginning of the end of an era.