t
was clear from the Bharatiya Janata Party national executive meeting in
Indore that its leadership is more inclined to adopt an ostrich-like
stance, which means burying your head in the sand when faced with
adversity, rather than facing the problems knocking on your door
squarely in the face. The failure of the party to win the recent State
Assembly election in Himachal Pradesh was the top item on the agenda.
But instead of analysing the causes of the defeat at the closed-door
two-day session, the leadership contented itself by blaming party
dissidents for the rout. The net result of the deliberation was to sack
Shanta Kumar from the Union Cabinet despite the fact that he was really
the man who built up the party cadre in Himachal Pradesh when he was the
chief minister of the State.
Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee appealed to the
party cadres to convey to the electorate the "good work" done by his
government. "Our achievements are more than just staying in power for
the last five years. We have provided a new direction to the country,"
he stressed. But the fact is, who is going to stomach this propaganda
when the reality is that the country is saddled with a weak government
that could do little to check terrorist violence except to look towards
the U. S. A. to bail India out of this problem; when prices of even
ordinary things of daily necessity like cooking gas or vegetables being
sold in the market have gone up; when getting your work done by greasing
palms in government offices is the order of the day.
Of course, as Vajpayee said, "only public perception
of actual performance could get the party a popular mandate" in the
parliamentary elections due next year. If the party could manage a
hands-down victory in Gujarat, it was due to the widespread feeling
there that only Narender Modi, the chief minister, had managed to kill
the communal beast that was threatening the very existence of the
majority community in the State. The late Indira Gandhi, despite her
many failings, could win a massive mandate after the 1971 war because of
the general perception that she was a leader with guts.
Who will credit Vajpayee with guts when his
government balked at issuing even a strong statement attacking the U. S.
A. for the rape of Baghdad? Who will regard him as a leader par
excellence when his government chooses to be a silent spectator to
massacres of innocents in Jammu and Kashmir by terrorists being smuggled
across the border by Pakistan’s ISI? Who will regard the BJP as a party
with confidence when its government, fearing defections from its ranks
in the coming days, is toying with the idea of further fortifying the
anti-defection law?
Rajiv Gandhi was the first prime minister to bring
the anti-defection law on the statute book. Although sympathy generated
by the assassination of his mother, Indira Gandhi, helped him win a
massive mandate, when he fought the elections on his own steam, he was
routed and later on even had to pay with his life for the wrong policies
he had pursued with regard to Sri Lanka. Will the BJP leaders wake up
and see the direction of the straws in the wind instead of comforting
themselves with the thought that the Congress, by virtue of being led by
a leader who is Italian by birth, could never give them a fight?
Whatever one may say about it, the fact is that the Congress is already
in power in 15 States in the country.
The BJP President, M. Venkaiah Naidu, says that the
State Assembly elections in November in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan,
Chhattisgarh and Delhi are semi-finals for the 2004 Lok Sabha polls.
Although the performance of the Congress governments in all these four
States is not very creditable, it would be a mistake to base hopes for
the general elections next year on what happens in the Assembly
elections in these States. If the Congress fails to retain power in
these four States on account of its failure to solve the problems of the
people, the BJP government at the Centre may also find it difficult to
re-emerge with its reputation intact from the parliamentary polls
because Vajpayee and his team which includes allegedly
corruption-tainted ministers also does not command respect from the
cross-section of the electorate.The Congress government in Punjab may
not be succeeding in tackling the problems of the people but it can
certainly claim credit for blowing the lid on the corruption spawned by
the previous Badal government. That government jobs in the State were on
sale when the State Public Service Commission was headed by Sidhu and
the kidney transplant operations were routine thanks to the massive
exploitation of poor Bihari rickshaw pullers and labourers came to light
only under the Congress government ruling Punjab now. The BJP’s bid to
revive interest in not so important leaders of the past only to claim
that, like the Congress, it could also derive inspiration from the
farsighted messiahs who made their contributions to India’s independence
and welfare in the past may comfort the Rashtriya Swayam Sevak Sangh and
other fundamental organisations. But such belated attempts to rediscover
heroes in history would not be of much consequence in so far as swaying
the electorate to vote for the lotus symbol in elections is concerned.
That only shows that having done little for the people who gave it a
mandate to rule, the party is now engaged in an exercise to take them
again up the garden path . But will the BJP succeed? Many things can
happen between now and the time when parliamentary elections are held.
Only time can answer this question.